Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.049202 0.057435 0.066483 0.077143 0.089340 0.102840 0.118891
2025-02-23 0.035723 0.046234 0.058876 0.075122 0.095359 0.119646 0.150897
2025-03-02 0.026981 0.038309 0.053071 0.073539 0.100973 0.136237 0.184716
2025-03-09 0.021713 0.033492 0.049974 0.074398 0.109271 0.156796 0.225872
2025-03-16 0.017018 0.028375 0.045356 0.072105 0.112557 0.170662 0.259405
2025-03-23 0.014851 0.026508 0.044971 0.075624 0.124301 0.197383 0.313713
2025-03-30 0.012557 0.023932 0.042965 0.076178 0.131389 0.217757 0.360578
2025-04-06 0.010345 0.021020 0.039864 0.074356 0.134250 0.231654 0.398592
2025-04-13 0.008656 0.018696 0.037335 0.073016 0.137535 0.246286 0.438876
2025-04-20 0.007920 0.018038 0.037659 0.076690 0.149738 0.276646 0.507658
2025-04-27 0.007181 0.017221 0.037530 0.079449 0.160524 0.305472 0.576260
2025-05-04 0.006046 0.015332 0.034987 0.077183 0.161685 0.317387 0.616281
2025-05-11 0.005206 0.013953 0.033309 0.076492 0.165938 0.335611 0.669920
2025-05-18 0.004383 0.012434 0.031084 0.074346 0.167057 0.348127 0.714288
2025-05-25 0.003728 0.011181 0.029231 0.072707 0.168967 0.362261 0.762894
2025-06-01 0.003322 0.010484 0.028537 0.073520 0.176061 0.387109 0.834177
2025-06-08 0.002806 0.009362 0.026623 0.071234 0.176152 0.397850 0.878473
2025-06-15 0.002641 0.009209 0.027106 0.074704 0.189406 0.436767 0.982692
2025-06-22 0.002363 0.008648 0.026437 0.075247 0.196021 0.462284 1.061351
2025-06-29 0.002029 0.007830 0.024928 0.073443 0.196915 0.475566 1.115386
2025-07-06 0.001760 0.007149 0.023678 0.072117 0.198772 0.491059 1.175301
2025-07-13 0.001679 0.007102 0.024245 0.075748 0.213221 0.535901 1.302447
2025-07-20 0.001577 0.006948 0.024474 0.078476 0.225679 0.577198 1.424727